ESMO 2025: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Perioperative Durvalumab plus Platin-Based Chemotherapy in Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer

(UroToday.com) The 2025 European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) Annual Congress held in Berlin, Germany, was host to the Poster Session. Dr. Constantin Rieger presented the poster Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of perioperative Durvalumab plus Platin-based Chemotherapy in muscle invasive bladder cancer.

Dr. Rieger noted that bladder cancer ranks 9th globally, causing ~550,000 new cases and 200,000 deaths annually. About 25% present with MIBC, requiring multimodal therapy. Although NAC with gemcitabine/cisplatin or dd-MVAC improves OS by ~8%, it is used in <20% of eligible patients.1 The NIAGARA trial showed that adding perioperative durvalumab improved 24-month OS (82% vs 75%) and pCR (37% vs 27%).2 Given the high per-patient cost of bladder cancer care, this analysis evaluated the cost-effectiveness of adding durvalumab to standard NAC in the German healthcare system.

The investigators built a Markov model (Below) to simulate clinical outcomes and economic impact for patients with MIBC treated with neoadjuvant gemcitabine/cisplatin plus durvalumab versus standard gemcitabine/cisplatin alone. The model incorporated transitions between health states including stable disease, progressive disease, and death, accounting for treatment phases such as surgery, adjuvant therapy, and second-line treatment with enfortumab vedotin ± pembrolizumab.

The cost-effectiveness acceptability curve demonstrated that adding durvalumab to gemcitabine/cisplatin was cost-effective in 76.5% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €100,000 per QALY, increasing to 94.2% at €150,000.

The ICER scatterplot, based on 1,000 simulations, showed that gemcitabine/cisplatin plus durvalumab had an incremental cost of €13,162 and an incremental benefit of 0.21 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of €61,006 per QALY gained. Green points represent scenarios in which the combination was cost-effective within the 95% confidence ellipse.

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Lastly, the base-case analysis estimated average costs of €113,224 for standard gemcitabine/cisplatin and €126,386 for gemcitabine/cisplatin plus durvalumab. The incremental cost of €13,162, combined with an additional 0.21 QALYs gained, resulted in an ICER of €61,006 per QALY indicating that durvalumab plus Gem/Cis is cost-effective within commonly accepted thresholds.

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Dr Rieger concluded their presentation with the following key messages:

  • Durvalumab + Gem/Cis was cost-effective in 76.5% of simulations at a willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of €100,000/QALY.
  • Incremental cost: €13,162; incremental benefit: 0.21 QALYs; ICER: €61,006/QALY.
  • The main cost driver was metastatic treatment with enfortumab vedotin + pembrolizumab.
  • Even modest survival gains substantially reduced downstream metastatic costs.
  • Results highlight the economic and clinical value of preventing progression to metastatic disease.
  • Cost-effectiveness applies only to comparison versus Gem/Cis alone, not against MVAC or nivolumab-based regimens.
  • Future directions include biomarker-driven (such as ctDNA-guided) adjuvant strategies to refine treatment selection and minimize overtreatment.

Presented by: Constantin Rieger, MD, Department of Urology, Universitäsklinikum Köln, 50937 Cologne, Germany

Written by: Julian Chavarriaga, MD – Urologic Oncologist at Cancer Treatment and Research Center (CTIC) via Society of Urologic Oncology (SUO) Fellow at The University of Toronto. @chavarriagaj on Twitter during the 2025 European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) Annual Congress, Berlin, Germany, October 17–21, 2025 

Reference:

  1. Grossman HB, Natale RB, Tangen CM, Speights VO, Vogelzang NJ, Trump DL, et al. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus cystectomy compared with cystectomy alone for locally advanced bladder cancer. N Engl J Med. 2003;349(9):859-66.
  2. Powles T, Sridhar SS, Loriot Y, Rosenberg JE, Bellmunt J, Hussain SA, et al. Perioperative durvalumab plus neoadjuvant gemcitabine and cisplatin in muscle-invasive bladder cancer. N Engl J Med. 2024;390(15):1389-1400.